Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.005377 0.005938 0.006517 0.007160 0.007852 0.008573 0.009381
2025-02-16 0.004596 0.005411 0.006295 0.007321 0.008475 0.009729 0.011191
2025-02-23 0.003980 0.004916 0.005968 0.007232 0.008698 0.010339 0.012303
2025-03-02 0.003569 0.004593 0.005779 0.007243 0.008987 0.010982 0.013424
2025-03-09 0.003362 0.004479 0.005808 0.007485 0.009524 0.011902 0.014864
2025-03-16 0.003115 0.004290 0.005720 0.007566 0.009854 0.012569 0.016003
2025-03-23 0.002936 0.004167 0.005699 0.007714 0.010256 0.013318 0.017244
2025-03-30 0.002792 0.004076 0.005707 0.007889 0.010684 0.014099 0.018531
2025-04-06 0.002532 0.003813 0.005475 0.007741 0.010693 0.014351 0.019162
2025-04-13 0.002362 0.003656 0.005371 0.007748 0.010891 0.014835 0.020080
2025-04-20 0.002162 0.003447 0.005182 0.007631 0.010917 0.015094 0.020712
2025-04-27 0.002011 0.003293 0.005061 0.007594 0.011041 0.015474 0.021497
2025-05-04 0.001862 0.003139 0.004935 0.007551 0.011162 0.015862 0.022315
2025-05-11 0.001790 0.003094 0.004959 0.007716 0.011567 0.016628 0.023639
2025-05-18 0.001648 0.002932 0.004807 0.007623 0.011612 0.016916 0.024335
2025-05-25 0.001547 0.002828 0.004732 0.007635 0.011798 0.017389 0.025280
2025-06-01 0.001519 0.002837 0.004823 0.007887 0.012322 0.018326 0.026856
2025-06-08 0.001450 0.002773 0.004802 0.007971 0.012609 0.018943 0.028008
2025-06-15 0.001403 0.002744 0.004829 0.008126 0.012997 0.019702 0.029362
2025-06-22 0.001365 0.002727 0.004875 0.008308 0.013426 0.020522 0.030810
2025-06-29 0.001253 0.002576 0.004703 0.008154 0.013361 0.020651 0.031307
2025-07-06 0.001184 0.002496 0.004639 0.008161 0.013529 0.021107 0.032260
2025-07-13 0.001094 0.002371 0.004497 0.008039 0.013501 0.021282 0.032819